NEW ORLEANS — This is the peak of the hurricane season and you can tell! I'm tracking a number of systems today. 

What is left of Imelda continues to bring flooding rains to SE Texas today. The tropical depression is slowly moving north over eastern Texas.  Bands of heavy rain will continue to impact the Beaumont, TX area to Lake Charles, LA with more flash flooding.  Some clouds from Imelda will work into the New Orleans area today along with a stray shower or storm.

Hurricane Humberto remains a Category 2 with winds of 110 mph. It has moved back Bermuda and the weather will improve there today. It is forecast to turn northeast as it moves out into the open Atlantic and loses its tropical characteristics.

Tropical Storm Jerry is getting better organized and stronger today. It is forecast to become a hurricane today. It is moving WNW and will be just north of the Lesser Antilles Friday and Saturday. Then it is forecast to turn to the north and be just west of the Bahamas Sunday into Monday. This could threat Bermuda next week as a hurricane. 

I'm also watching a weak tropical wave in the Caribbean that is not expected to develop into system. Lastly, there is a stronger tropical wave in the middle of the Atlantic behind Jerry. This wave has a low chance to develop into a tropical system the next 5 days.

Tracking the Tropics: Path, Spaghetti Models


2019 Hurricane Season Outlook

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration predicted 10 to 17 named storms. It says five to nine of them will become hurricanes and two to four of those would become major hurricanes with 111 mph winds or higher.

2019 Atlantic Hurricane Names

Colorado State University, which pioneered hurricane season predictions, is forecasting 14 named storms, 7 to become hurricanes and two to hit major status.

IBM's Weather Company calls for 14 named storms, seven hurricanes and three majors. Accuweather calls for 12 to 14 named storms, five to seven hurricanes and two to four major storms.


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